By Clement Queloz 
The Miami Open 2025 final is set to be a captivating showdown between World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka and World No. 4 Jessica Pegula. This clash between two formidable players on the WTA Tour promises to be a thriller.
Road to the Final :
Aryna Sabalenka has displayed outstanding form throughout the tournament, reaching her first Miami final without dropping a set. It wasn’t all plain sailing for the Belarusian, who had to eliminate title-holder Collins and then Zheng (WTA #9). In the semi-finals, she dominated Jasmine Paolini in straight sets, consolidating her status as the favourite in the rankings.
Jessica Pegula had to battle her way to the final (3 sets dropped). In the semifinals, she faced the tournament’s breakthrough star, 19-year-old qualifier Alexandra Eala. In a marathon match that stretched late into the night, Pegula prevailed in three tight sets against the young Filipino sensation.
Head-to-Head :
Sabalenka and Pegula are no strangers to each other, having faced off multiple times on tour. The World No.1 leads 6-2 the H2H. This will be their third consecutive meeting in the final of a top American hard court tournament. The Belarusian ended up winning the Cincinnati and US Open titles at Pegula’s expense last year, and will retain the advantage.
What’s at Stake ?
This final is of great importance to both competitors. A victory for Sabalenka would reinforce her domination of the Tour and add another prestigious title to her already impressive list of honours, which has been somewhat empty since the start of the year. For Pegula, lifting the trophy in Miami would be a decisive achievement for her career, especially after a somewhat inconsistent start to the season.
Key Factors to Watch :
Physical stamina: After a gruelling semi-final, Pegula’s recovery will be crucial if she hopes to match Sabalenka’s relentless intensity, which has kept her time on court to a minimum.
Tactical adaptation: Sabalenka’s raw power will be pitted against Pegula’s strategic play and consistency. The ability to adapt to match conditions and exploit her opponent’s weaknesses could be the decisive factor.
Tennis fans can look forward to an electrifying final, filled with high-quality rallies and intense competition. The match takes place on Saturday evening at 20:00 CET and promises to be a real highlight.